Tag:Big Ten Conference predictions
Posted on: May 13, 2011 5:29 pm
Edited on: June 27, 2011 7:46 pm
 

2011 B1G Ten Predictions

Time to go out on a limb. How many of you will dare to publically commit?
At the end of the season, I will compare predictions to realities.

WEEK 1 PREDICTIONS
 
Nevada-Las Vegas at Wisconsin -- Badgers win.
Youngstown State at Michigan State -- Spartans win.
Northwestern at Boston College -- Eagles win. BC and NU are essentially equal on paper. The deciding factors are (1) a new Wildcat quarterback and (2) the game is at BC.
Arkansas State at Illinois -- Illini win.
Ball State vs. Indiana -- Cardinals win. BSU and IU are essentially equal on paper. The deciding factors are (1) 21 returning starters for BSU versus 14 for IU, (2) a new Hoosier quarterback, (3) a new IU head coach and those more than offset the IU home field advantage.
Tennessee Tech at Iowa -- Hawkeyes win.
Western Michigan at Michigan -- Wolverines win. Michigan is the better team on paper, but there are reasons to anticipate the potential upset: (1) UM is just emerging from a significant off the field drama, (2) UM has a new head coach, (3) UM defense has been on the carousel for 4 years and looks like this year will add to that streak, (4) UM is a young group that has not managed to play much as a team over the past 3 years and is somewhat lacking in senior leadership, and (5) Coach Hoke has not been successful in his first season at either Ball State (4-8-0) or San Diego State (4-8-0).
Tennessee-Chattanooga at Nebraska -- Cornhuskers win.
Akron at Ohio State -- Buckeyes win. Given the player suspensions and the associated drama/distractions of the NCAA investigation, had this game been at Akron, it would have been a difficult call.
Indiana State at Penn State -- Nittany Lions win.
Middle Tennessee State at Purdue -- Blue Raiders win. MTSU returns the more experienced team. PU is on a 6-game skid and is breaking in a new quarterback. Given the Boilermaker home field advantage this is almost predicting and upset, especially since MTSU has never beaten a B1G Ten team.
Minnesota at Southern California -- Trojans win.
South Florida at Notre Dame -- Fighting Irish win. The Fighting Irish home field advantage tips the balance of this otherwise evenly matched contest. Were the game at SFU, the Bulls would get the call.
 
WEEK 2 PREDICTIONS
 
South Dakota State at Illinois -- Illini win.
Virginia at Indiana -- Hoosiers win. This is an upset in the making. The IU home field advantage is offset by the coaching change. The Cavaliers both are on a 4-game losing streak and starting a new quarterback and that tips the balance in favor of the Hoosiers.
Iowa at Iowa State -- Hawkeyes win.
Notre Dame at Michigan -- Fighting Irish win. ND is the better team on paper and with the exceptions of starting a new quarterback and the game at UM have everything going their way. See WEEK 1, Western Michigan at Michigan for the Wolverine vulnerabilities.
Florida Atlantic at Michigan State -- Spartans win.
New Mexico State at Minnesota -- Golden Gophers win. This could be another upset waiting to happen. Both teams were in the bottom quartile last season, but NMSU brings back the more experienced team and Minnesota has a coaching change to offset the home field advantage. That said, the Aggies have not beaten a big school team in a long time.
Fresno State at Nebraska -- Cornhuskers win. FSU and Nebraska are not that disparant on paper, but Nebraska is the better team with the home field advantage.Don't be surprised if the Bulldogs give the Cornhuskers a good game.
Eastern Illinois at Northwestern -- Wildcats win.
Toledo at Ohio State -- Buckeyes win. OSU has won the prior 2 matches by a combined score of 87-0. While almost every factor favors OSU, do not be surprised if the Rockets give the Buckeyes a bit of a scare.
Alabama at Penn State -- Nittany Lions win. If this game were later in the season, the Crimson Tide would get the nod. PSU brings back the more experienced team and has the home field advantage. UA has a slightly better team on paper, but has a lot of vacancies to fill on both sides of the ball. Upset alert given for this one, though.
Purdue at Rice -- The Owls win. Purdue is slightly better on paper, but starts a new quarterback and Rice has the home field advantage and returns a slightly more experienced team.
Oregon State at Wisconsin -- Badgers win.
 
WEEK 3 PREDICTIONS
 
Northwestern at Army -- Black Knights win. The new Wildcat quarterback and the Army home field advantage will be enough.
Arizona State at Illinois -- Illini win. By week 3, a new quarterback should be settled in. However, the new Sun Devil coach and the Illini home field advantage favor a somewhat better, somewhat more experienced Illini team.
South Carolina State at Indiana -- Hoosiers win. Barely.
Pittsburgh at Iowa -- Hawkeyes win. By week 3, a new quarterback should be settled in. However, the new Panthers coach and the Hawkeye home field advantage favor a slightly better, slightly more experienced Iowa team.
Ohio State at Miami (FL) -- Hurricanes win in an upset. In spite of the Miami coaching change, the home field advantage and the OSU coach/player suspensions make the Buckeyes vulnerable and without their best senior leaders, they stumble.
Eastern Michigan at Michigan -- Wolverines win.
Miami (OH) at Minnesota -- Redhawks win. The only advantage Minnesota has is the home field and that will prove to be insufficient.
Washington at Nebraska -- Cornhuskers win. Barely.
Michigan State at Notre Dame -- Spartans win. The Fighting Irish home field advantage has been something the Spartans have overcome in recent times. The Spartans hold the record of 6 consecutive wins in South Bend with that streak ended in 2009 in a game that literally came down to the last play. In the last 3 games, the home team has won, but in the prior 6 games, the visiting team won. The Spartans are coming off their best season in school history with the talent to reload the positions vacated by graduation. ND will be starting a new quarterback. Given the nature of this game, an upset alert is declared.
Southeast Missouri State at Purdue -- Boilermakers win. This is the most probable upset in the first 3 weeks.
Penn State at Temple -- Nittany Lions win. The streak goes to 29.
Northern Illinois vs. Wisconsin -- Badgers win. Barely. New Huskies coach and Badgers home field advantage tip the balance.
 
WEEK 4 PREDICTIONS
 
Northwestern -
Purdue -
Western Michigan at Illinois -- Illini win. Hard to envision Illinois starting 4-0, but it looks like it could happen.
Louisiana-Monroe at Iowa -- Hawkeyes win.
San Diego State at Michigan -- Aztecs win. Barely. Both teams have new coaches with the added twist that Coach Hoke of Michigan came from SDSU. On paper, SDSU is the better team. See WEEK 1, Western Michigan at Michigan for the Wolverine vulnerabilities.
Central Michigan at Michigan State -- Spartans win. This is not the same Chippewa team that upset the Spartans in 2009.
North Dakota State at Minnesota -- Golden Gophers win. NDSU should win, but the call is for the upset.
Indiana at North Texas -- Mean Green wins. Barely. Home field advantage tips the decision.
Colorado at Ohio State -- Buckeys win.
Eastern Michigan at Penn State -- Nittany Lions win.
South Dakota at Wisconsin -- Badgers win.
Nebraska at Wyoming -- Cornhuskers win.
Notre Dame at Pittsburgh -- Panthers win. Barely. Home field advantage tips the scales.
 
WEEK 5 PREDICTIONS
 
Iowa -
Northwestern at Illinois -- Illini win. The Wildcat bye week is not enough.
Michigan State at Ohio State -- Spartans win. Barely. The Buckeyes will have the NCAA drama and the distraction of 5 suspended players plus head coach getting ready to rejoin the team immediately after the game. This game deserves an upset alert.
Nebraska at Wisconsin -- Badgers. Home field advantage is the difference. This game also deserves an upset alert.
Penn State at Indiana -- Nittany Lions win.
Minnesota at Michigan -- Wolverines win.
Notre Dame at Purdue -- Fighting Irish win.
 
WEEK 6 PREDICTIONS
 
Michigan State -
Wisconsin -
Ohio State at Nebraska -- Cornhuskers win. OSU has 5 key players that missed the first 5 games now starting.
Iowa at Penn State -- Hawkeyes win.
Minnesota at Purdue -- Boilermakers win.
Illinois at Indiana -- Illini win.
Michigan at Northwestern -- Wildcats win. The only differences between these 2 teams in 2010 was the degree of the bowl loss. The only differences between the 2 teams on paper for 2011 are the new Wildcat quarterback and the new Wolverine head coach. See WEEK 1, Western Michigan at Michigan for the Wolverine vulnerabilities. This game warrents an upset alert.
Air Force at Notre Dame -- Fighting Irish win. If the game were in other than South Bend, the call would go to the Falcons. Upset alert.
 
WEEK 7 PREDICTIONS
 
Minnesota -
Nebraska -
Notre Dame -
Ohio State at Illinois -- Buckeyes win.
Northwestern at Iowa -- Hawkeyes win.
Michigan at Michigan State -- Spartans win. 3 prior games won by a combined 95-53. Wolverine defense should be improved but the offense will be a slight bit less and there may be signs of life on special teams. The Spartans are better everywhere. See WEEK 1, Western Michigan at Michigan for the Wolverine vulnerabilities.
Purdue at Penn State -- Nittany Lions win.
Indiana at Wisconsin -- Badgers win.
 
WEEK 8 PREDICTIONS
 
Michigan -
Ohio State -
Indiana at Iowa -- Hawkeyes win.
Wisconsin at Michigan State -- Spartans win. Home field advantage is the difference. This game warrents an upset alert.
Penn State at Northwestern -- Nittany Lions win. Barely.
Nebraska at Minnesota -- Cornhuskers win.
Illinois at Purdue -- Boilermakers win. By rights the Illini should win, but this will be an upset.
Southern California at Notre Dame -- Trojans win. And get vengence for last season's loss.
 
WEEK 9 PREDICTIONS
 
Northwestern at Indiana -- Hoosiers win. Home field advantage tips the balance.
Purdue at Michigan -- Wolverines win.
Iowa at Minnesota -- Hawkeyes win.
Michigan State at Nebraska -- Spartans win. Barely. If the Spartans are 7-0 going into this game, and they may well be, then they will have momentum and confidence sufficient to overcome the Nebraska home field advantage. The great unknown is how badly beat up will the Spartans be from the prior week versus Wisconsin. Another upset alert.
Wisconsin at Ohio State -- Buckeyes win.  And get vengence for last season's loss.
Illinois at Penn State -- Nittany Lions win. State College is a definite home field advantage.
Navy at Notre Dame -- Fighting Irish win. 3 factors. ND home field advantage offsets what remains of bringing a new QB up to speed (should have been settled in the early weeks of the season) AND the Fighting Irish just will not allow the Midshipmen to get the three-fer.
 
WEEK 10 PREDICTIONS
 
Illinois -
Penn State -
Michigan at Iowa -- Hawkeyes win.
Minnesota at Michigan State -- Spartans win.
Northwestern at Nebraska -- Cornhuskers win.
Indiana at Ohio State -- Buckeyes win.
Purdue at Wisconsin -- Badgers win.
Notre Dame at Wake Forest -- Fighting Irish win.
 
WEEK 11 PREDICTIONS
 
Michigan at Illinois -- Illini win. Wolverines come off a tough loss at Iowa to meet a rested Illinois team at Illinois.
Wisconsin at Minnesota -- Badgers win.
Nebraska at Penn State -- Nittany Lions win. PSU should have good momentum going into this game and Nebraska will face a rested Paterno team. Home field advantage tips it to PSU.
Michigan State at Iowa -- Spartans win. Barely. This is the most difficult game of the entire season to call. Hawkeyes enjoy the home field advantage for the second week in a row. Spartans come off what should be an easy win over the Golden Gophers. Iowa collapsed after trouncing the Spartans in what was really a 3 play game. The Spartans and Hawkeyes should both be unbeaten going into the game and if that is the case, there will be a ton of distractions for each team. On paper, the teams are evenly matched. The win is given to the Spartans who should want it more, who should be itching for revenge. Major upset alert set for this one. Showdown in Iowa City!
Ohio State at Purdue -- Buckeyes win.
Rice at Northwestern -- Wildcats win.
Maryland at Notre Dame -- Fighting Irish win. Calling an upset alert.
 
WEEK 12 PREDICTIONS
 
Indiana at Michigan State -- Spartans win.
Iowa at Purdue -- Hawkeyes win.
Wisconsin at Illinois -- Badgers win. Barely.
Nebraska at Michigan -- Cornhuskers win.
Minnesota at Northwestern -- Wildcats win.
Penn State at Ohio State -- Buckeyes win. Barely. Penn State will becoming off a tough win versus Nebraska. OSU home field advantage tips the scale.
Boston College at Notre Dame -- Fighting Irish win.
 
WEEK 13 PREDICTIONS
 
Iowa at Nebraska -- Cornhuskers win.
Ohio State at Michigan -- Buckeyes win.
Illinois at Minnesota -- Illini win.
Purdue at Indiana -- Hoosiers win.
Michigan State at Northwestern -- Spartans win.
Penn State at Wisconsin -- Badgers win.
Notre Dame at Stanford -- Cardinals win.
 
WEEK 14 PREDICTIONS
(revised 6/27/2011)
 
The natural consequences of all of the above being correct is that the B1G Ten Championship will be:
Michigan State 13-0, 9-0, 5-0
Versus on of:
Ohio State 9-3, 6-2, 5-0
Wisconsin 10-2, 6-2, 4-1
 
Division standings are based on each team's overall conference record. In the event that two teams are tied, the head-to-head results between those two teams determines the tiebreaker.
 
Three or more-team procedure
 1. Collective head-to-head record among all tied teams.
 2. Record of the tied teams within the division.
 3. BCS Component.
 
Ohio State won the head-to-head and gets the nod.
(revised 6/27/2011)
  
Michigan State beat Ohio State in Week 5 and does so again for the Championship game.
(revised 6/27/2011)
  
FINAL CONFERENCE STANDINGS:
(revised 6/27/2011)
  
No.  1  Michigan State 13-0, 9-0, 6-0 (B1G Ten Champion)
No.  2  Ohio State 9-4, 6-3, 5-0
No.  2  Wisconsin 10-2, 6-2, 4-1
No.  2  Iowa 10-2, 6-2, 3-2
No.  5  Nebraska 9-3, 5-3, 4-1
No.  5  Penn State 9-3, 5-3, 3-2
No.  7  Illinois 8-4, 4-4, 1-4
No.  8  Michigan 4-8, 2-6, 1-4
No.  8  Northwestern 4-8, 2-6, 2-3
No.  8  Indiana 4-8, 2-6, 1-4
No.  8  Purdue 3-9, 2-6, 1-4
No.  12  Minnesota 2-10, 0-8, 0-5
 
WEEK 15 PREDICTIONS
 
Navy at Army -- Midshipment win.

 
 
 
 
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com